A future-oriented analysis of the European defence industry and its repercussions in the Spanish one
Antonio Fonfría, Profesor en la Universidad Complutense de Madrid y en la Academia de las Ciencias y las Artes Militares. afonfria@ucm.es. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4282-314X
Silvia Vicente Oliva, profesora en la Universidad de Zaragoza. silviav@unizar.es. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9958-9972
The new defence policy of the European Union (EU) is forcing the defence industry in Europe to adjust its strategies, especially since the invasion of Ukraine. Both the European Commission and the European Defence Agency (EDA) are pushing for a European Defence Technological and Industrial Base (EDTIB), taking account of factors that include the fragmentation of supply chains, the significant efficiency gains that can be made and the prospect of greater EU strategic autonomy. In the industrial field, particularly in the area of technology, it will change the shape of the European defence industry. But what direction will this new industry take? Will national oligopolies be reinforced at the same time as other European oligopolies emerge? Drawing on an empirical analysis based on interviews with experts, this paper focuses on Spain as a case study and explores the repercussions it will have on the country’s defence industry.
Key words: Europe, Spain, military capabilities, industrial strategy, defence industry, defence foresight
How to cite this article: Fonfría, Antonio y Vicente Oliva, Silvia. «Un análisis prospectivo sobre la industria de defensa europea y sus repercusiones en la española». Revista CIDOB d’Afers Internacionals, n.º 137 (septiembre de 2024), p. 117-140. DOI: doi.org/10.24241/rcai.2024.137.2.117
Revista CIDOB d’Afers Internacionals, nº 137. pp. 117-140
Quadrimestral (May-September 2024)
ISSN:1133-6595 | E-ISSN:2013-035X
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24241/rcai.2024.137.2.117
Fecha de recepción: 12.01.24 ; Fecha de aceptación: 09.05.24
El presente trabajo ha dispuesto de financiación de la Agencia Estatal de Investigación (PID2019-108036GB-I00/AEI/10.1339/501100011033) y Grupo CREVALOR- S42_23R del Gobierno de Aragón.
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